The Gift Keeps Giving
Three by-elections. Four floor-crossers. A Liberal majority. And yet, this is still good news for Pierre Poilievre.
My argument in February was simple: the problems Pierre Poilievre faces are not tactical; they’re strategic and largely outside his control. He can’t make Trump disappear. He can’t dim the early glow around Mark Carney. What he can do is wait, stay disciplined, and let time do the work that no amount of policy announcements or image management has managed.
The soft support that carried Carney to a minority is now, through extraordinary means, a majority. It is situational. It was created by circumstances: a threatening American president and a reassuring technocrat who seemed like the right man for the time. That moment will not last forever.
Poilievre needed runway. He has it now.
The question is what he does with it.